Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 0.026458 0.028444 0.030444 0.032604 0.034871 0.037175 0.039693
2026-02-01 0.022695 0.025786 0.029014 0.032627 0.036545 0.040655 0.045281
2026-02-08 0.020338 0.024047 0.028026 0.032586 0.037644 0.043062 0.049279
2026-02-15 0.018494 0.022634 0.027175 0.032486 0.038489 0.045026 0.052645
2026-02-22 0.017020 0.021488 0.026488 0.032442 0.039280 0.046834 0.055754
2026-03-01 0.015591 0.020279 0.025627 0.032102 0.039650 0.048097 0.058189
2026-03-08 0.014182 0.018998 0.024595 0.031480 0.039622 0.048845 0.059985
2026-03-15 0.012886 0.017771 0.023553 0.030777 0.039434 0.049357 0.061465
2026-03-22 0.012401 0.017504 0.023633 0.031383 0.040770 0.051624 0.064972
2026-03-29 0.011722 0.016953 0.023330 0.031496 0.041493 0.053155 0.067610
2026-04-05 0.011015 0.016326 0.022899 0.031421 0.041962 0.054368 0.069861
2026-04-12 0.010593 0.016044 0.022881 0.031839 0.043019 0.056274 0.072934
2026-04-19 0.009916 0.015423 0.022443 0.031760 0.043515 0.057575 0.075380
2026-04-26 0.009296 0.014856 0.022060 0.031745 0.044094 0.058994 0.078000
2026-05-03 0.008721 0.014315 0.021680 0.031707 0.044623 0.060335 0.080517
2026-05-10 0.008168 0.013773 0.021273 0.031609 0.045056 0.061546 0.082870
2026-05-17 0.007677 0.013293 0.020923 0.031566 0.045543 0.062813 0.085287
2026-05-24 0.007120 0.012685 0.020373 0.031232 0.045636 0.063574 0.087071
2026-05-31 0.006510 0.011965 0.019639 0.030623 0.045346 0.063834 0.088216
2026-06-07 0.005921 0.011242 0.018868 0.029933 0.044924 0.063906 0.089108
2026-06-14 0.005769 0.011184 0.019036 0.030528 0.046200 0.066145 0.092737
2026-06-21 0.005482 0.010898 0.018863 0.030639 0.046825 0.067548 0.095313
2026-06-28 0.005160 0.010537 0.018566 0.030565 0.047193 0.068614 0.097460